UPDATED Aug. 12, 2024, at 12:54 PM
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Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
KEY
ESTIMATE
95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE
Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.
| Dates | Samplei SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS | Pollster | Sponsor | Result | Net result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Datesi SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS | Pollster | Result |
Polls ending Aug. 8, 2024
President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024AVG.
Aug. 6-9 | 693 | LV | Aug. 6-9 693LV | Harris | 46% | Harris | 46% | Harris 46% Trump 44% Kennedy 4% Stein 1% West 0% Oliver 0% | 44% | Trump | Harris | +2 | |||
46% Harris 44% Trump 4% Kennedy 1% Stein 0% West 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-9 | 693 | RV | Aug. 6-9 693RV | Harris | 45% | Harris | 45% | Harris 45% Trump 43% Kennedy 5% Stein 2% Oliver 1% West 0% | 43% | Trump | Harris | +2 | |||
45% Harris 43% Trump 5% Kennedy 2% Stein 1% Oliver 0% West | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 6-9 | 693 | LV | Aug. 6-9 693LV | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 46% | 46% | Trump | Harris | +4 | |||
Aug. 6-9 | 693 | RV | Aug. 6-9 693RV | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 46% | 46% | Trump | Harris | +3 | |||
President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
Aug. 5-9 | 802 | RV | Aug. 5-9 802RV | Carolina Forward Carolina Forward is a partisan sponsor for the Democratic Party. | Harris | 46% | Harris | 46% | Harris 46% Trump 46% Kennedy 2% West 0% Stein 0% Oliver 0% | 46% | Trump | Even | |||
46% Harris 46% Trump 2% Kennedy 0% West 0% Stein 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 7, 2024
President: general election, 2024AVG.
Aug. 7-8 | 1,000 | RV | Aug. 7-8 1,000RV | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 46% | 46% | Trump | Harris | +1 |
President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
Aug. 6-8 | 1,082 | LV | Aug. 6-8 1,082LV | Harris | 45% | Harris | 45% | Harris 45% Trump 49% Kennedy 3% | 49% | Trump | Trump | +4 | |||
45% Harris 49% Trump 3% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, Nevada, 2024
Aug. 6-8 | 1,087 | LV | Aug. 6-8 1,087LV | Harris | 45% | Harris | 45% | Harris 45% Trump 48% Kennedy 3% | 48% | Trump | Trump | +3 | |||
45% Harris 48% Trump 3% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, Arizona, 2024AVG.
Aug. 6-8 | 1,092 | LV | Aug. 6-8 1,092LV | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 48% Kennedy 3% | 48% | Trump | Trump | +1 | |||
47% Harris 48% Trump 3% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024AVG.
Aug. 6-8 | 1,078 | LV | Aug. 6-8 1,078LV | Harris | 44% | Harris | 44% | Harris 44% Trump 46% Kennedy 4% | 46% | Trump | Trump | +2 | |||
44% Harris 46% Trump 4% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024AVG.
Aug. 6-8 | 800 | LV | Aug. 6-8 800LV | Harris | 48% | Harris | 48% | Harris 48% Trump 49% | 49% | Trump | Trump | +1 | |||
Aug. 5-8 | 661 | LV | Aug. 5-8 661LV | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 43% Kennedy 5% Stein 0% West 0% Oliver 0% | 43% | Trump | Harris | +6 | |||
49% Harris 43% Trump 5% Kennedy 0% Stein 0% West 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 5-8 | 661 | RV | Aug. 5-8 661RV | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 42% Kennedy 6% Stein 0% West 0% Oliver 0% | 42% | Trump | Harris | +7 | |||
49% Harris 42% Trump 6% Kennedy 0% Stein 0% West 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 5-8 | 661 | LV | Aug. 5-8 661LV | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 46% | 46% | Trump | Harris | +4 | |||
Aug. 5-8 | 661 | RV | Aug. 5-8 661RV | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 46% | 46% | Trump | Harris | +4 | |||
President: general election, Michigan, 2024AVG.
Aug. 6-8 | 800 | LV | Aug. 6-8 800LV | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Harris | +2 | |||
Aug. 5-8 | 619 | LV | Aug. 5-8 619LV | Harris | 48% | Harris | 48% | Harris 48% Trump 43% Kennedy 4% Stein 1% West 0% Oliver 0% | 43% | Trump | Harris | +5 | |||
48% Harris 43% Trump 4% Kennedy 1% Stein 0% West 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 5-8 | 619 | RV | Aug. 5-8 619RV | Harris | 44% | Harris | 44% | Harris 44% Trump 43% Kennedy 5% Stein 1% West 0% Oliver 0% | 43% | Trump | Harris | +1 | |||
44% Harris 43% Trump 5% Kennedy 1% Stein 0% West 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 5-8 | 619 | LV | Aug. 5-8 619LV | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 46% | 46% | Trump | Harris | +4 | |||
Aug. 5-8 | 619 | RV | Aug. 5-8 619RV | Harris | 45% | Harris | 45% | Harris 45% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Trump | +3 | |||
Aug. 6, 2024
President: general election, 2024AVG.
Aug. 7 | 2,584 | LV | Aug. 7 2,584LV | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 44% Kennedy 4% Oliver 1% Stein 0% | 44% | Trump | Harris | +3 | |||
47% Harris 44% Trump 4% Kennedy 1% Oliver 0% Stein | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 5-7 | LV | Aug. 5-7 LV | Napolitan Institute | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 49% | 49% | Trump | Even | ||||
Aug. 5-7 | 2,000 | RV | Aug. 5-7 2,000RV | Napolitan Institute | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 46% Kennedy 2% | 46% | Trump | Harris | +1 | ||
47% Harris 46% Trump 2% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 2-7 | 1,342 | RV | Aug. 2-7 1,342RV | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Harris | +2 | |||
Aug. 2-7 | 1,342 | RV | Aug. 2-7 1,342RV | Harris | 42% | Harris | 42% | Harris 42% Trump 37% Kennedy 4% | 37% | Trump | Harris | +5 | |||
42% Harris 37% Trump 4% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 5, 2024
President: general election, Montana, 2024
Aug. 5-6 | 1,000 | LV | Aug. 5-6 1,000LV | The Hill | Harris | 39% | Harris | 39% | Harris 39% Trump 54% Kennedy 5% West 0% Stein 0% Oliver 0% | 54% | Trump | Trump | +15 | ||
39% Harris 54% Trump 5% Kennedy 0% West 0% Stein 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
Aug. 5-6 | 1,000 | LV | Aug. 5-6 1,000LV | The Hill | Harris | 43% | Harris | 43% | Harris 43% Trump 58% | 58% | Trump | Trump | +15 | ||
President: general election, 2024AVG.
Aug. 4-6 | 1,413 | RV | Aug. 4-6 1,413RV | The Economist | Harris | 45% | Harris | 45% | Harris 45% Trump 43% Kennedy 2% Stein 1% West 0% | 43% | Trump | Harris | +2 | ||
45% Harris 43% Trump 2% Kennedy 1% Stein 0% West | |||||||||||||||
July30-Aug.6 | 1,000 | LV | July30-Aug.6 1,000LV | Harris | 45% | Harris | 45% | Harris 45% Trump 44% Kennedy 11% | 44% | Trump | Harris | +1 | |||
45% Harris 44% Trump 11% Kennedy | |||||||||||||||
July30-Aug.6 | 1,000 | LV | July30-Aug.6 1,000LV | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 50% | 50% | Trump | Even | ||||
Aug. 4, 2024
President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
Aug. 4-5 | 600 | LV | Aug. 4-5 600LV | Carolina Journal | Harris | 44% | Harris | 44% | Harris 44% Trump 47% Kennedy 4% Oliver 1% Stein 0% Terry 0% | 47% | Trump | Trump | +3 | ||
44% Harris 47% Trump 4% Kennedy 1% Oliver 0% Stein 0% Terry | |||||||||||||||
President: general election, 2024AVG.
Aug. 2-5 | 1,510 | LV | Aug. 2-5 1,510LV | Harris | 48% | Harris | 48% | Harris 48% Trump 45% | 45% | Trump | Harris | +3 |
President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024AVG.
July31-Aug.5 | 800 | RV | July31-Aug.5 800RV | Harris | 48% | Harris | 48% | Harris 48% Trump 45% | 45% | Trump | Harris | +3 |
President: general election, Arizona, 2024AVG.
July30-Aug.5 | 500 | LV | July30-Aug.5 500LV | Harris | 44% | Harris | 44% | Harris 44% Trump 42% | 42% | Trump | Harris | +3 |
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The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.
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Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Holly Fuong, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Polling averages by G. Elliott Morris. Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Andrea Jones-Rooy, Irena Li, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan, Geoffrey Skelley and Julia Wolfe contributed research. Editing by Sarah Frostenson, Nathaniel Rakich, Kaleigh Rogers and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux. Copy editing by Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Alex Kimball, Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan, Maya Sweedler and Curtis Yee.
